Current camouflage can hide soldiers and their vehicles from ⦠| Website Design by, PO Tâs & Câs and Flow Down Requirements, How 5G iPhones Will Affect the Capacitor Manufacturing Process in 2020, How an Electronics Distributor Will Help You Find Military-Grade Diodes, How the Coronavirus is Causing Supply Chain Disruptions Across the Globe. Some other areas of technology, perhaps most notably directed energy systems, hypersonic missiles, and certain types of advanced materials, could play important supplemental roles in making the next two decades a true period of military revolution, or at least of very fast and ongoing rapid transformation. civilian technology for military purposes and to analyze difficulties in the transition of technology between the civilian and military sectors of the U.S. economy. It also helps to identify those specific technological enablers that are most likely to cause any radical change in broader military capabilities – to figure out what might drive a revolution in military affairs, should there be such a thing anytime soon. The development of âdeterrenceâ and âflexible responseâ and of a superpower dominated bipolar world 1 can rightly be associated with the development of nuclear weapons and other military technology. With the significant growth of global access as a means of communication, the DoD receives a high volume of information at a high speed. Biosphere 2) Agriculture, scientific research, space colonization Two lessons emerge from this previous analysis. This methodology discourages hyperbole based on cherry-picking areas of technology that may be most (or least) promising. Second, to the extent that there were flaws in my approach and my analysis, it is important to understand their origins, and attempt to take remedial action in any future prognostication. Science & Technology Trends: 2020-2040 provides an assessment of emerging or disruptive Science & Technologies (S&T) and their potential impact on NATO military operations, defence capabilities, and political decision space. One, the approach I developed in the 2000 book appears useful. Instant Language Translationi⦠All rights reserved. However, when it comes to combining technologies into systems and operational concepts that can be instrumental in fighting wars, the human dimension of organizational performance, influenced by the external combat environment as well as domestic and bureaucratic politics, introduces new variables into the mix, as the writings of Stephen Rosen, Thomas Ehrhard, Barry Posen, Stephen Biddle, and others attest. Trends Program, the French Ministry of Defence and the European Defence Agency shows that emerging ... Technology and military doctrine are closely coupled and interdependent.4 Blitzkrieg, the Air-Land Battle and Carrier Strike are but the examples of how new technologies combined with Defense resource decisions need to be based on concrete analysis that breaks down the categories of major military technological invention and innovation one by one and examines each. Modularity. In the earlier book, I also predicted that another seven categories of technology would likely witness high change – chemical sensors, biological sensors, radio communications, laser communications, radio-frequency weapons, nonlethal weapons, and biological weapons. Within these four general areas, all of the 29 sub-categories of technology that I employed in the 2000 book are retained here, in addition to 10 new sub-categories. It is not surprising that forecasting the future would be hardest when complex concepts are involved and when large military organizations are the key actors. The essay displayed has been published as part of the JAPCC Joint Air and Space Power Conference 2020 Read Ahead. Todayâs infographic comes from Futurism, showing the technological advancements we can expect to materialize in the battlefield over the coming decades. Notably, it is entirely possible that the ongoing, rapid pace of computer innovation may make the next two decades more revolutionary than the last two. With this research complete, I then argued in the book that in fact only two of the 29 categories of technology were likely to experience truly revolutionary change – and thus to create the potential for military revolution when combined with other kinds of available technologies as well as new operational and strategic concepts.
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